All of the following charts (except for the captions added below each chart) are from Joel Smalley's Video Interview: Pandemic Time Series Data and Analytics of England's Death Data
Reveals COVID deaths Plus Increased Deaths in following Lockdowns and COVID Vaccination
Notice, in the chart above, the natural log of deaths declines to the same lower baseline level during summer months.
Notice, in the chart above, the new raised baseline level (blue line) of England's deaths are most likely due to lack of medical care for non-COVID medical conditions and other consequences of lock downs.
Notice, in the chart above, from March to July 2020, lock downs may have saved (54,169 model COVID deaths - 49,583 actual COVID deaths = 4,586 COVID deaths) but lockdowns may have caused (55,123 total actual deaths from all causes - 54,169 model COVID deaths = 954 deaths).
Notice, in the charts above, vaccinations (blue line in 2 left charts) are correlated with a new spike in Deaths
Notice, in the chart above, a new spike in England's excess deaths beginning in January, 2021 corresponds to the implementation of COVID-19 vaccinations in England.
Other work by Joel Smalley
Video: England Mortality Analysis. Jan 30, 2021 Joel Smalley An update on mortality in England for the last year or so in the context of the last 20, obviously focussed on the impact of COVID-19 and the appearance of something rather peculiar in the first couple of weeks of 2021.
COVID 19 Summary 24th November 2020 Joel Smalley A phlegmatic review of the COVID situation in England using empirical data available up to 24th November.